A wave of panic selling gripped Dalal Street this week, sending the Sensex and Nifty plunging to their steepest weekly losses in two years. This market rout, fueled by the US Federal Reserve's cautious outlook and intensified foreign investor selling, has erased trillions of rupees in market value and raised concerns about the market's near-term prospects.
Market carnage: A week of losses
The Sensex plummeted by a staggering 5 percent this week, with three out of five sessions witnessing losses exceeding 1,000 points. This relentless decline has wiped out a staggering Rs 17 lakh crore in market capitalization from BSE-listed companies. The Nifty 50 mirrored this dismal performance, also shedding 5 percent and slipping below its crucial 200-day exponential moving average (DEMA), signaling a return to correction territory.
Factors fueling the fall:
Several factors contributed to this market bloodbath:
- Fed's cautious stance: The US Federal Reserve's recent policy announcement, which signaled a slower-than-expected pace of rate cuts in 2025, has dampened global investor sentiment.
- FII selling: Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have been aggressively selling Indian equities, exacerbating the market downturn.
- High valuations: Concerns about elevated valuations in the Indian market, particularly in mid- and small-cap segments, have added to the selling pressure.
- Weak earnings growth: Muted expectations for Q3 earnings have further weighed on investor sentiment.
Expert outlook:
Analysts are closely monitoring key support levels for the Nifty, with the 200-day SMA now acting as an intermediate resistance. The broader market sentiment remains weak, with mid- and small-cap indices also experiencing significant declines.
This week's market crash serves as a stark reminder of the inherent volatility in stock markets and the influence of global factors on domestic equities. While the Fed's cautious stance and FII selling have been the primary triggers for this downturn, concerns about valuations and earnings growth have further amplified the selling pressure. As the market grapples with these challenges, investors are advised to exercise caution and adopt a balanced investment strategy that combines the stability of large caps with tactical exposure to profitable, domestic-focused companies. This period of uncertainty calls for a prudent approach, focusing on long-term value creation and navigating the current volatility with careful consideration.