Bhubaneswar: In the February heat, the nip in the air has vaporised in no time. Both maximum and minimum temperatures in Odisha are remaining 2-3 deg C above normal.
Amidst the forecast of sunny and hotter days to prevail over Odisha till Feb 12, the APEC climate centre sees hotter days ahead in March and April.
As per the Asia Pacific Climate Centre seasonal outlook, India will be recording above normal temperature during the period of February to April.
APEC FORECAST
As per APEC ENSO forecast, LA Nina is still in force, but ENSO neutral to take stage by April. The forecast from the apex weather centre predicts hotter days, above normal temperature in coming days and months.
A glance at the forecast suggests the following.
- Except Tamil Nadu, rest of India will record above normal temperature during the period Feb – April.
- The weather centre predicts the more hot regions as Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, and parts of Odisha.
- In March-April, Jammu and Kashmir is also predicted to record above normal temperature this year.
- Rainfall during the period will be below normal in north India, and normal to below normal in rest of India, including Odisha.
- In its Multimodal Ensemble forecast, it predicts a high (nearly 70%) probability of India, and the whole of south Asia, recording above normal surface temperature during the months of Feb, March and April.
ANTICYLONE HEATING UP ODISHA
The weather models of IMD GFS and NCMRWF NCUM show presence of an anticyclone over Bay of Bengal close to Odisha coasts. The existence of this weather system is preventing sea breeze flow into Odisha, and at the same diverting the northwest wind flow away from the State.
In the next 24-48 hrs, the model predicts the system shifting over to Odisha. As a consequence, the maximum temperature in Odisha will remain around 35 deg C during the next two days.
The minimum temperature is also predicted to rise by around 1-3 deg C during the next 48 hrs.
If the model prediction to be believed, the anticyclone to prevail over Odisha, Chhattisgarh and Andhra Pradesh till Feb 8, bringing hot and sunny days over the region.
Though it will weaken thereafter, but the model forecast predicts formation of a new anticyclone system over the State by Feb 10.
As a consequence, hot and sunny days are predicted till Feb 12 over Odisha, Chhattisgarh and Andhra Pradesh.
The outlook, as predicted by models, will be less airy and more sunny, leading to a surge in mercury.
